Liquidation risk
Define your position. Understand the probability, the price move, and the historical evidence.
Putting your position in perspective.
Loading a Bitcoin example at 10× leverage with a 24-hour horizon.
How to read this analysis
The probability is the historical frequency of a price move reaching the specified distance within the horizon. It uses complete, continuous one-minute observations. Overlapping observations are not independent trades, and different horizons can have different sample sizes.
Leverage uses a simplified isolated-position estimate, with the available maintenance rate held constant. Fees, changes in funding, margin-tier transitions and other account positions are not included in the historical probability. An exchange liquidation price defines the current distance more directly, but that price can change.
Zero historical occurrences does not establish zero future risk. Hyperliquid trade candles and earlier Binance history are price proxies, identified in the results. Read the methodology ↗